A new Tropical Storm, named Edouard, has now formed in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. This cell was discovered on Thursday, over 1,000 miles west of the Cape Verde Islands. This is fifth named storm of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season, and will generally track in a northwestward direction over the next week or so before moving more towards the north early into next week. With the track that its on now, it isn’t expected to pose an immediate threat to the Caribbean, Bermuda, or the U.S east coast.
Edouard could possibly strengthen and reach hurricane status early next week, but it also has the possibility to fend off the wind shear and dry air in order to do so. Eduoard was a swirl of thunderstorms that showed up on the radar very clearly and these observations indicated that a surface wind circulation. Residents of Florida are already aware that something is arriving, with solid bands of rain and thunderstorms swinging onshore that are bringing gusts of up to 35 mph over the near-shore waters.
This system will be moving across the region of South Florida today, and there will also be torrential downpours brought on with these thunderstorms, which may even cause some localized flash flooding in some areas. Into the beginning of next week, the latest model runs show that this disturbance is persisting as a cell that is moving across the Gulf of Mexico.
The disturbance that hurricane experts have been tracking is from Africa across the eastern Atlantic, and this is the cell that has been named Tropical Storm Edouard thus far. The models so far have shown this cyclone turning and staying far out at sea so far. To the east of the depression, the “monsoon trough” which is staying near Africa is very active, and there are many disturbances that the model predicts could possibly begin to spin, but they are not as active as Eduoard was once it began.
Tropical storm Odile is now experiencing hostile upper-level winds at the moment, and the conditions are expected to be perfect for moving this cell into a hurricane. The National Hurricane Center actually predicts this cell to become at least a Category 2 hurricane.
Farther south, outer layers of rain and wind may possibly brush the coast tomorrow, and a tropical storm watch has been indefinitely issued. Now, in the longer range, different models show different levels of potential for the moisture from Odile to reach the southwest U.S. But, the European models say something different, as in they don’t see that happening.
In the meantime farther south, outer fringes of rain and wind could barely brush the coast tomorrow, and a tropical storm watch has been issued. This is still early, and there is still a lot of time to see what the future forecast trends are. There is a tropical depression sixteen-E, and it is still way out to the west at sea.
Another tropical storm, named Kalmaegi, or Luis in the Philippines, is slowly but surely organizing a large circulation. There are bands of thunderstorms that are extending all the way to the Philippines, and the center of this storm is headed for the northern Philippines by Sunday. This cell will bring heavy rain, as well as the threat for flash flooding and mud/landslides, and also winds that are expected to be tropical storm or typhoon strength. According to the models, it will more than likely track to southern China or northern Vietnam after a couple of days.
Then indications are it’ll track to to southern China or perhaps northern Vietnam a couple days after that.